Experts of Russian grain market voice their first forecasts of grain production in 2022 expecting higher output. At the same time, the weather factor should be watched as the massive snow cover combined with warm weather generate the risk of formation of ice coating and winterkilling to crops, informed Интерфакс.
Vladimir Petrichenko, general director of ProZerno, forecasts grain crop at 130.2 mln tonnes in 2022, including 83 mln tonnes of wheat.
“This figure is based on very good condition of winter crops”, – he said adding that the area under winter grains was reduced, however, the harvesting are would be higher than the year ago.
Igor Pavensky, head of the analytical center at Rusagrotrans JSC, expects higher grain production as well.
“There are risks of formation of ice coating, overwatering of fields after snow melting, dry conditions in May-June”, – he said forecasting wheat crop at 81.4 mln tonnes, – “If the risks would not come true, the production of wheat may reach 83-84 mln tonnes. We pegged the overall grain crop at 128 mln tonnes”.
Russian Grain Union forecasts grain production in Russia in 2022 at 125-127 mln tonnes, including 81 mln tonnes of wheat.
Alexander Korbut, vice-president of Russian Grain Union, also pointed out the risks of ice coating that can badly hurt winter crops.
According to preliminary official data, Russia harvested 120.7 mln tonnes of grain, including 75.9 mln tonnes of wheat in 2021.